At this point I agree either way could work. Each idea has its good points. But ultimately we are not the ones taking the time to tally everything every month as well. If enough people like Matt's idea or there are enough people that don't care either way we could just go with Matt's idea.

I agree it would be interesting to see the varying degree of guesses involving the total amount of masterworks but similarly the idea of ranking your guesses from most to least likely could make up for that notion. It would be no penalty points and players could still strategize there idea of how many Masterworks would be released that year by simply ranking what they think are most likely to happen.